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Standards for grades Pre-K–12
Number Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Algebra Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Geometry Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Measurement Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Data Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Problem Solving Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Reasoning Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Communication Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Connections Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Representation Standard for grades Pre-K–12
Electronic Examples for grades Pre-K–12




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Data Analysis and Probability Standard for Grades Pre-K–2

Expectations
Instructional programs from prekindergarten through grade 12 should enable all students to— In prekindergarten through grade 2 all students should—
Formulate questions that can be addressed with data and collect, organize, and display relevant data to answer them
pose questions and gather data about themselves and their surroundings;
sort and classify objects according to their attributes and organize data about the objects;
represent data using concrete objects, pictures, and graphs.
Select and use appropriate statistical methods to analyze data
describe parts of the data and the set of data as a whole to determine what the data show.
Develop and evaluate inferences and predictions that are based on data
discuss events related to students' experiences as likely or unlikely.
Understand and apply basic concepts of probability  


Informal comparing, classifying, and counting activities can provide the mathematical beginnings for developing young learners' understanding of data, analysis of data, and statistics. The types of activities needed and appropriate for kindergartners vary greatly from those for second graders; however, throughout the pre-K–2 years, students should pose questions to investigate, organize the responses, and create representations of their data. Through data investigations, teachers should encourage students to think clearly and to check new ideas against what they already know in order to develop concepts for making informed decisions.

As students' questions become more sophisticated and their data sets larger, their use of traditional representations should increase. By the end of the second grade, students should be able to organize and display their data through both graphical displays and numerical summaries. They should be using counts, tallies, tables, bar graphs, and line plots. The titles and labels for their displays should clearly identify what the data represent. As students work with numerical data, they should begin to sort out the meaning of the different numbers—those that represent values ("I have four people in my family") and those that represent how often a value occurs in a data set (frequency) ("Nine children have four people in their families"). They should discuss when conclusions about data from one population might or might not apply to data from another population. Considerations like these are the precursors to understanding the notion of inferences from samples.

Ideas about probability at this level should be informal and focus on judgments that children make because of their experiences. Activities that underlie experimental probability, such as tossing number cubes or dice, should occur at this level, but the primary purpose for these activities is focused on other strands, such as number.


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Formulate questions that can be addressed with data and collect, organize, and display relevant data to answer them

The main purpose of collecting data is to answer questions when the answers are not immediately obvious. Students' natural inclination to ask questions must be nurtured. At the same time, teachers should help them develop ways to gather information to answer these questions so that they learn when and how to make decisions on the basis of data. As children enter school and their interests extend from their immediate surroundings to include other environments, they must learn how to keep track of multiple responses to their questions and those posed by others. Students also should begin to refine their questions to get the information they need.

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Organizing data into categories should begin with informal sorting experiences, such as helping to put away groceries. These experiences and the conversations that accompany them focus children's attention on the attributes of objects and help develop an understanding of "things that go together," while building a vocabulary for describing attributes and for classifying according to criteria. Young students should continue activities that focus on attributes of objects and data so that by » the second grade, they can sort and classify simultaneously, using more than one attribute.

Students should learn through multiple experiences that how data are gathered and organized depends on the questions they are trying to answer. For example, when students are asked to put a counter into a bowl to indicate whether they vote for a class trip to the zoo or to the museum, the responses are organized as the data are gathered (see fig. 4.20). To address a particular question such as "What is your favorite beverage served in the school cafeteria?" real objects such as containers for chocolate milk, plain milk, or juice can be collected, organized, and displayed. At other times, pictures of objects, counters, name cards, or tallies can be contributed by students, organized, and then displayed to indicate preferences.

Figure
Fig. 4.20. Students can contribute counters to bowls to vote.

Methods used by students in different grades to investigate the number of pockets in their clothing provide an example of students' growth in data investigations during the period through grade 2. Younger students might count pockets (Burns 1996). They could survey their classmates and gather data by listing names, asking how many pockets, and noting that number beside each name. Together the class could create one large graph to show the data about all the students by coloring a bar on the graph to represent the number of pockets for each student (see fig. 4.21). In the second grade, however, students might decide to count the number of classmates who have various numbers of pockets (see fig. 4.22). Their methods of gathering the information, organizing it, and displaying the data are likely to be different because they are grouping the data—three students have two pockets, five students have four pockets, and so on. They will have to think carefully about the meaning of all the numbers—some represent the value of a piece of data and some represent how many times that value occurs.

Figure

Fig. 4.21. A bar graph illustrating the number of pockets in kindergarten students' clothes

Figure

Fig. 4.22. A line-plot graph of the number of students in a second-grade class who have from one to ten pockets


p. 110

Students do not automatically refine their questions, consider alternative ways of collecting information, or choose the most appropriate way to organize and display data; these skills are acquired through experience, class discussions, and teachers' guidance. Take, for example, the following episode drawn from a classroom experience: »

The students had become interested in the question of whether more families had cars with two doors or four doors. As they planned, the students had to decide if trucks should be included. What about vans with four doors or station wagons with five doors? After the class had settled on common categories, different groups of students kept track of the data in different ways. One group put cubes in different cups that represented the different categories. Another group recorded the data using tallies. A third group of students made a list of families with cars with two doors and those with cars with four doors without attempting to organize the information or agree on the results of their data collection. The teacher used the students' work for a class discussion about which groups were able to answer the question they had posed.



p. 112

Students' representations should be discussed, shared with classmates, and valued because they reflect the students' understandings. These representations afford teachers opportunities to assess students' understandings and to initiate class discussions about important issues related to representing data. Misconceptions that arise because of students' representations of data offer situations for new learning and instruction. A teacher asked first-grade students to fold a piece of paper in half and cut out a heart (adapted from University of North Carolina Mathematics and Science Education Network [1997, p. 19]). When the students sorted their hearts into three columns according to size (see fig. 4.23a), some of them stated that the large hearts represented the most popular choice because that column was the tallest. A teacher could use a class discussion of the difference between the sizes and the numbers of hearts as an early experience with scale and as an opportunity for the students to plan how to revise the graph to convey the data more accurately. By pasting their hearts on equal-sized pieces of paper, the students could create a new graph, shown in figure 4.23b. »

Figure

Fig. 4.23. A misleading data display and its subsequent revision (source of (a): University of North Carolina Mathematics and Science Education 1997, p. 19).


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Select and use appropriate statistical methods to analyze data

Through their data investigations, young students should develop the idea that data, charts, and graphs give information. When data are displayed in an organized manner, class discussions should focus on what the graph or other representation conveys and whether the data help answer the specific questions that were posed. Teachers should encourage students to compare parts of the data ("The same number of children have dogs as have cats") and make statements about the data as a whole ("Most students in the class have lost only two teeth").

By the end of grade 2, students should begin to question inappropriate statements about data, as illustrated in this classroom conversation: Two students, interested in how many of their classmates watched a particular television show, surveyed only their friends and reported their results to the class. "You didn't ask me and I watched it!" one girl complained. Another student said, "Wait a minute, you didn't ask me and I didn't watch it. I bet most kids didn't watch it."

Data investigations can encourage students to wrestle with counting issues that are fundamental to all data collection: Whom do I count? How can I be certain I have counted each piece of data once and only once?

p. 113

The concept of sample is difficult for young students. Most of their data gathering is for full populations, such as their own class. With guidance, students can begin to recognize when conclusions about one population cannot be applied to another, as demonstrated in the following hypothetical example: A teacher reads a book about whistling to a first-grade class. The students decide to survey the class and discover that eight students can whistle and nineteen cannot. When the teacher asks the class to title the chart they have created, the students agree that » an appropriate title would be "Most Children Cannot Whistle." The teacher then asks, "What do you think would happen if we asked the fourth graders?" The students repeat the survey and discover that almost every fourth grader can whistle, so they decide to retitle the graph "Number of Students in Our Class Who Can Whistle."


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Develop and evaluate inferences and predictions that are based on data

Inference and prediction are more-advanced aspects of this Standard. The development of these concepts requires work with sampling that begins in the next grade band. As appropriate beginnings for these concepts, however, teachers should encourage informal discussions about whether or not students in other classes would reach a similar conclusion.


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Understand and apply basic concepts of probability

At this level, probability experiences should be informal and often take the form of answering questions about the likelihood of events, using such vocabulary as more likely or less likely. Young students enjoy thinking about impossible events and often encounter them in the books they are learning to read. Questions about more and less likely events should come from the students' experiences, and the answers will often depend on the community and its location. During the winter, the question "Is it likely to snow tomorrow?" has quite different answers in Toronto and San Diego.

Teachers should address the beginnings of probability through informal activities with spinners or number cubes that reinforce conceptions in other Standards, primarily Number. For example, as students repeatedly toss two dice or number cubes and add the results of each toss, they may begin to keep track of the results. They will realize that a sum of 1 is impossible, that a sum of 2 or 12 is rare, and that the sums 6, 7, and 8 are fairly common. Through discussion, they may realize that their observations have something to do with the number of ways to get a particular sum from two dice, but the exact calculation of the probabilities should occur in higher grades.

 

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